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Red41
99915.3
361828.7
558626.8
Blue89
957823.5
282633.1
283040.4
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301070501502004189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +30
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
24Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
41Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.5
19.520.0
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 11.7
40.40.0
33.033.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
5586
#11
26.80.5
16.617.2
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 6.2
33.10.0
33.333.3
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
9991
#17
5.30.5
-3.1-2.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 18.2
9578
#12
23.50.0
22.322.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned