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Red87
770941.9
907914.9
872536.1
Blue77
624513.2
713018.7
764517.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964301502002508777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
40Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points8
87Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.0
38.638.6
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
red by 23.2
7130
#26
18.70.5
18.318.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Second
8725
#16
36.10.0
32.832.8
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
red by 18.2
7645
#20
17.90.5
17.517.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Third
9079
#19
14.90.0
11.611.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
red by 1.7
13.20.5
12.813.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1