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Red89
838720.4
242951.8
98814.4
Blue56
1036818.1
707722.0
300922.3
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103670501502008956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
43Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points2
89Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.0
49.749.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
red by 29.5
3009
#18
22.30.5
22.421.9
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Second
8387
#20
20.40.0
20.620.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 1.6
7077
#39
22.00.7
22.521.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
988
#25
14.40.0
12.512.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 3.7
18.10.7
16.515.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned