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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192210100150250300206223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +22
3Leave3
5Coral scored#10
26Coral points48
29Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +3
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points84
5Processor algae#6
10Net algae#6
30Processor points36
40Net points24
70Algae points60
141Total teleop144
Reef
11L4#11
4L3#12
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
206Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#14
63.90.3
63.463.7
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
blue by 14.0
7407
#25
77.90.3
75.876.2
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
Second
1699
#11
62.90.3
62.462.7
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
blue by 4.0
66.80.3
64.765.0
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
Third
467
#30
58.90.3
58.458.7
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
blue by 0.6
839
#38
59.50.3
57.457.8
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3