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Red95
51256.6
99768.5
414372.0
Blue44
379240.8
99999.2
749612.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117850501001502009544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
55Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
95Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.2
65.265.4
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
red by 31.2
3792
#20
40.82.4
48.446.0
Auto9.1
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
9976
#22
8.50.4
8.58.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 4.1
7496
#25
12.72.6
17.214.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
5125
#31DQ
6.61.3
8.37.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.1
blue by 2.7
9999
#14
9.23.9
7.63.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned