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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596701001502002506545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
20Foul points0
65Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#24
19.52.2
23.020.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 2.1
9182
#19
21.62.4
23.120.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Second
19.42.2
16.514.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
blue by 1.5
20.92.4
16.013.6
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
7221
#15
14.22.2
10.78.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 2.0
7813
#39
12.22.4
15.813.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed