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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87470206010012014016010340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+51Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
57Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
103Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.12.6
35.337.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
red by 31.2
5641
#21
23.91.8
15.613.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Second
573
#7
31.32.6
26.529.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
red by 7.8
7491
#32
23.51.8
15.613.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
11.82.6
9.111.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 3.3
6631
#28
15.11.8
13.011.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed