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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7764020401001201401606834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
48Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
68Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.10.5
30.429.9
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 21.1
894
#23
25.13.3
24.220.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Second
5150
#27
21.00.5
20.620.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 2.5
7491
#32
23.53.3
18.915.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
8385
#20
12.60.5
15.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 0.2
5282
#40
12.73.3
14.711.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed