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Red138
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
Blue151
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19517250100150250300138151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +6
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
99Total teleop105
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
138Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.71.9
70.468.5
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
red by 13.2
63.50.0
60.060.0
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
69.91.9
63.761.8
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
red by 15.3
54.60.0
51.151.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
503
#5
38.91.9
32.630.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
blue by 4.4
573
#6
43.30.0
39.839.8
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed