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Red41
954822.2
96748.8
656924.5
Blue59
14135.5
655812.9
77135.5
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801004159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
31Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
41Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.51.0
17.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 11.0
141
#3
35.51.4
23.625.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
Second
9548
#12
22.21.0
18.917.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
red by 9.4
6558
#34
12.91.4
12.814.1
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
9674
#38
8.81.0
13.512.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 3.3
7713
#36
5.51.4
4.35.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed