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Red100
157449.2
333958.3
623014.9
Blue70
784533.9
706716.5
599069.9
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301225010015020010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points18
44Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
52Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
100Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.2
55.654.4
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
blue by 11.6
69.93.0
65.062.0
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
Second
49.21.2
47.346.1
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
red by 15.4
7845
#13
33.93.0
30.927.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
Third
6230
#20
14.91.2
14.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 1.5
7067
#19
16.53.0
18.915.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed