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Red235
949678.4
313055.4
207570.4
Blue193
7063.4
397081.7
501341.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227195100150250300350235193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+34Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points21
44Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +17
34Coral scored#32
123Coral points114
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
159Total teleop142
Reef
17L4#12
11L3#11
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
51Game pieces#42
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
235Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.8
80.080.8
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
blue by 3.3
3970
#43
81.70.3
79.078.7
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
Second
2075
#10
70.40.8
70.971.7
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
red by 7.0
70
#40
63.40.3
68.267.8
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
Third
3130
#13
55.40.8
55.256.0
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 13.5
5013
#51
41.90.3
39.238.9
Auto8.4
Teleop31.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned