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Qual 792024 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red105
479539.8
744319.2
650018.8
Blue88
663919.7
903224.5
873827.4
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8273020406010012014016010588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCrescendo
Margin
+5Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
29Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +4
57Total teleop53
StageRed +2
9Total endgame7
Ranking points
Melody
Ensemble
Penalties & totalRed +17
10Foul points4
105Total score88
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#2
39.81.5
37.9→39.4
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 12.4
8738
#20
27.41.1
24.4→25.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
7443
#18
19.21.5
17.7→19.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 5.3
9032
#9
24.51.1
23.7→24.8
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
6500
#15
18.81.5
17.4→18.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
6639
#13
19.71.1
18.8→19.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed