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Qual 212024 Arkansas Regional
Red49
906713.9
234111.4
545417.6
Blue32
804417.9
96084.9
500210.8
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801004932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCrescendo
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+13Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
12Total auto2
TeleoperatedRed +4
29Total teleop25
StageBlue +1
4Total endgame5
Ranking points
Melody
Ensemble
Penalties & totalRed +17
4Foul points0
49Total score32
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#10
17.60.7
16.6→17.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 0.3
8044
#17
17.90.3
13.1→12.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
9067
#19
13.90.7
12.7→13.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 3.1
5002
#12
10.80.3
15.3→15.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Third
2341
#16
11.40.7
9.8→10.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
red by 6.5
9608
#27
4.90.3
5.8→5.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed