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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314080100120160180200220173166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+17Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
39Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +6
104Total teleop98
Charge stationRed +8
30Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points10
173Total score166
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.62.6
58.361.0
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
red by 9.8
5411
#10
53.81.6
49.451.0
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
Second
624
#2
59.32.6
50.753.3
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
red by 7.8
2881
#24
51.51.6
48.950.5
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Third
7506
#36
28.12.6
25.528.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
blue by 10.5
5417
#14
38.61.6
39.641.2
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned