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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116135406080100160180200117122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +2
29Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +3
68Total teleop71
Charge stationlevel
20Dock & park20
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
117Total score122
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.4
61.461.9
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
blue by 2.3
118
#1
67.60.1
64.864.6
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Second
4153
#32
38.30.4
35.836.2
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 7.7
8088
#34
30.60.1
31.431.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
7312
#37
19.40.4
13.513.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
blue by 10.5
4610
#27
29.80.1
27.827.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed