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Qual 122023 Steel City Showdown
Red57
326017.7
11720.8
164033.2
Blue108
261446.3
350420.7
574028.5
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010005015020057108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +9
12Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +42
45Total teleop87
Charge stationlevel
0Dock & park0
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
57Total score108
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#6
33.21.5
33.6→32.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End3.2
blue by 13.1
2614
#4
46.30.8
45.9→46.8
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
117
#12
20.81.5
24.3→22.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 7.7
5740
#5
28.50.8
27.6→28.5
Auto7.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Third
3260
#11
17.71.5
21.1→19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 2.9
3504
#10
20.70.8
21.7→22.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned