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Qual 462023 PNW District Oregon State Fairgrounds Event
Red111
75329.3
95541.4
154045.9
Blue155
252157.3
299051.0
404332.7
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12114080100160180200111155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +9
33Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +20
56Total teleop76
Charge stationlevel
22Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points15
111Total score155
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#4
45.90.4
42.6→42.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
blue by 11.3
2521
#1
57.30.7
53.8→54.5
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
Second
955
#18
41.40.4
44.1→43.7
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 9.6
2990
#2
51.00.7
45.2→45.9
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
Third
753
#21
29.30.4
32.1→31.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End4.1
blue by 3.4
4043
#12
32.70.7
30.2→30.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned