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Qual 32023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red99
875723.7
519040.9
689430.9
Blue110
456147.3
479552.4
322926.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671315010015099110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +6
25Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +10
52Total teleop62
Charge stationRed +10
22Dock & park12
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points5
99Total score110
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#9
40.91.8
29.8→31.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
blue by 11.5
4795
#7
52.40.6
49.4→48.7
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End7.8
Second
6894
#15
30.91.8
23.8→25.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End6.6
blue by 16.4
4561
#3
47.30.6
46.3→45.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End8.4
Third
8757
#30
23.71.8
17.7→19.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 3.0
3229
#21
26.70.6
19.1→18.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed