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Qual 232023 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red126
264250.9
350647.7
875723.7
Blue130
153343.1
482826.9
519040.9
81%Model gave it19%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11892406080100140160180126130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+22
Endgame+14
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +2
38Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +20
56Total teleop76
Charge stationRed +8
22Dock & park14
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +4
10Foul points0
126Total score130
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#4
50.90.6
46.0→46.6
Auto14.9
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 7.8
1533
#20
43.12.7
40.4→43.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Second
3506
#2
47.70.6
41.3→41.8
Auto14.4
Teleop26.5
End6.6
red by 6.8
5190
#9
40.92.7
32.6→35.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End6.9
Third
8757
#30
23.70.6
20.2→20.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 3.2
4828
#18
26.92.7
16.6→19.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed