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Qual 462023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red142
392639.1
329729.3
472859.9
Blue158
247051.3
460763.3
706840.9
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12616550100150200250142158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +8
30Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +8
90Total teleop98
Charge stationlevel
22Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
142Total score158
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#6
59.91.3
56.9→58.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
blue by 3.5
4607
#1
63.30.5
62.4→62.9
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
Second
3926
#18
39.11.3
37.8→39.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
blue by 12.3
2470
#5
51.30.5
51.2→51.7
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Third
3297
#28
29.31.3
28.1→29.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 11.5
7068
#9
40.90.5
40.4→40.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned