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Qual 372023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red164
614638.3
523248.3
318460.2
Blue163
604560.2
534848.4
563843.9
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150153120130140160170180164163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
36Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +4
88Total teleop92
Charge stationlevel
30Dock & park30
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalRed +1
10Foul points0
164Total score163
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#12
60.20.7
59.0→59.8
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
Level
6045
#2
60.21.5
58.6→60.0
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
5232
#19
48.30.7
48.7→49.5
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
blue by 0.1
5348
#10
48.41.5
44.5→46.0
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5
Third
6146
#20
38.30.7
39.6→40.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
blue by 5.6
5638
#8
43.91.5
41.0→42.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned