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Qual 462023 Rainbow Rumble
Red114
607851.2
22630.7
6081B17.0
Blue152
365546.8
540654.4
719740.3
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98147050200250114152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+52
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
33Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +37
47Total teleop84
Charge stationBlue +12
10Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +38
24Foul points10
114Total score152
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#13
51.20.5
49.3→48.8
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
blue by 3.2
5406
#7
54.40.7
49.2→49.9
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Second
226
#29
30.70.5
31.2→30.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
blue by 16.1
3655
#11
46.80.7
45.0→45.7
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Third
6081B
#28
17.00.5
17.1→16.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 23.3
7197
#19
40.30.7
40.5→41.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned