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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513380100120160180200147119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
45Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +12
72Total teleop60
Charge stationRed +10
30Dock & park20
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
147Total score119
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.31.4
60.261.6
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 8.8
818
#14
51.50.4
50.650.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
Second
5152
#16
47.91.4
44.846.1
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
red by 4.9
4130
#29
43.10.4
44.544.1
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Third
5235
#30
27.61.4
22.523.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
blue by 6.1
9255
#35
33.70.4
33.232.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned