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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17611750100150200250164136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+5
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
35Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +25
99Total teleop74
Charge stationRed +8
30Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
164Total score136
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.4
61.461.8
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
red by 6.7
58.21.3
53.654.9
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
55.60.4
50.050.4
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
red by 13.4
123
#18
42.21.3
37.138.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
Third
9312
#13
54.00.4
49.249.6
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End8.1
red by 29.4
4810
#40
24.61.3
26.227.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned