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Qual 382023 Central Illinois Regional
Red131
665113.9
421338.5
175658.8
Blue114
465532.2
2746.6
409631.3
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171096080100140160180200131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
37Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +12
62Total teleop50
Charge stationlevel
20Dock & park20
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points5
131Total score114
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#1
58.80.7
57.0→57.7
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 12.3
27
#2
46.60.4
43.9→44.3
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
4213
#7
38.51.1
37.8→38.9
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
red by 6.4
4655
#17
32.20.6
28.7→29.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Third
6651
#28
13.90.7
13.7→14.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 17.4
4096
#16DQ
31.30.6
30.7→31.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned