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Qual 382023 Tidal Tumble
Red85
364750.3
710223.2
696B29.1
Blue121
928212.2
519972.7
427633.6
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679805015020025085121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+41
Endgame+41
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +2
21Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
59Total teleop98
Charge stationlevel
0Dock & park0
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +36
5Foul points0
85Total score121
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#11
50.31.3
50.8→49.4
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
blue by 22.4
5199
#1
72.70.8
71.1→71.9
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
Second
696B
#32
29.12.2
26.0→23.8
Auto5.0
Teleop26.2
End-1.9
blue by 4.5
4276
#18
33.60.8
31.6→32.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Third
7102
#41
23.21.3
23.2→21.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End-0.3
red by 11.0
9282
#39
12.20.8
6.3→7.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned