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Qual 342023 SoCal Showdown
Red50
271031.9
145214.2
800616.0
Blue106
999520.1
59744.8
258442.4
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49101015020050106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +21
3Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +35
47Total teleop82
Charge stationlevel
0Dock & park0
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
50Total score106
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#7
31.90.8
31.6→30.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
blue by 12.9
597
#9
44.80.3
45.4→45.8
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Second
8006
#20
16.00.8
13.4→12.6
Auto2.0
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 26.3
2584
#10
42.40.3
39.6→40.0
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
Third
1452
#31
14.20.8
16.5→15.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
blue by 5.9
9995
#22
20.10.6
15.7→16.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed