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Qual 162023 SoCal Showdown
Red43
622020.8
999710.1
420147.3
Blue125
263745.9
271031.9
68759.5
30%Model gave it70%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711905010015020043125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+82
Endgame+82
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +16
9Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +66
34Total teleop100
Charge stationlevel
0Dock & park0
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points0
43Total score125
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#23
47.33.6
57.1→53.5
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
blue by 12.2
687
#3
59.50.1
54.4→54.5
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
Second
6220
#25
20.83.6
22.0→18.4
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 25.1
2637
#6
45.90.1
37.8→37.9
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Third
9997
#33
10.16.0
18.1→12.1
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
blue by 21.8
2710
#7
31.90.1
31.6→31.7
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned