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Qual 482023 Capital City Classic
Red71
5940B35.6
691819.4
469837.9
Blue109
348220.1
196734.7
876829.2
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81650204010012014016071109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +8
50Total teleop58
Charge stationlevel
0Dock & park0
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +38
12Foul points36
71Total score109
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#18
37.92.5
38.8→36.3
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End2.9
red by 3.3
1967
#17
34.71.1
38.4→37.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.2
End-0.6
Second
5940B
#22
35.64.1
36.1→32.0
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End-1.1
red by 6.5
8768
#44
29.21.1
32.6→31.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
6918
#25
19.42.5
21.2→18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End2.5
blue by 0.7
3482
#11
20.11.1
18.4→17.3
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned