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Qual 192023 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red107
351251.2
641734.0
501215.3
Blue118
407920.2
441555.8
665723.3
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910250150200107118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownCharged Up
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
33Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +6
49Total teleop55
Charge stationBlue +2
20Dock & park22
Ranking points
Sustainability
Activation
Penalties & totalBlue +11
5Foul points5
107Total score118
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#10
51.20.6
44.0→44.7
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
blue by 4.6
4415
#6
55.81.2
49.3→50.5
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
6417
#17
34.00.6
31.1→31.7
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2
red by 10.7
6657
#22
23.31.2
21.4→22.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4
Third
5012
#30
15.30.6
18.2→18.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5
blue by 4.9
4079
#33
20.21.2
24.4→25.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned