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Qual 322022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red68
87577.2
153343.9
429019.7
Blue97
482937.9
650227.8
479542.1
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70110204060801001201401601806897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownRapid React
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +8
18Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
30Total teleop53
HangarRed +10
16Climb6
Ranking points
Cargo
Hangar
Penalties & totalBlue +29
4Foul points12
68Total score97
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#3
43.90.5
40.2→39.8
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
red by 1.8
4795
#7
42.10.9
38.1→37.2
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
4290
#19
19.70.5
21.9→21.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5
blue by 18.2
4829
#2
37.90.9
32.4→31.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End12.1
Third
8757
#30
7.20.5
8.8→8.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 20.6
6502
#15
27.80.9
27.9→27.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsMissed