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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Power Up
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+113
Endgame+63
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +4
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +109
179Total teleop288
EndgameRed +50
90Climb & park40
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points30
298Total score391
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 10.5
Second
blue by 6.7
