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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+2
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
37Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +3
123Total teleop120
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
310Total score262
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 2.3
Second
blue by 2.1
