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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+20Auto
+160Teleop
+310Endgame
+310Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
35Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +140
260Total teleop120
AirshipRed +150
150Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +310
0Foul points0
445Total score135
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 20.2
Second
red by 18.5
