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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+24Auto
+164Teleop
+164Endgame
+149Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
39Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +140
260Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +149
10Foul points25
459Total score310
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 43.2
Second
red by 41.3
