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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+15
+137Teleop
+187Endgame
+192Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
21Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +152
273Total teleop121
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +192
5Foul points0
449Total score257
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 12.5
Second
red by 11.2
