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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+6
+44Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
30Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +1
120Total teleop121
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +49
5Foul points0
305Total score256
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 3.5
Second
red by 5.2
