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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+76
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
47Total auto68
TeleoperatedBlue +55
262Total teleop317
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
459Total score485
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 15.6
Second
blue by 10.4
