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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+5Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousRed +5
35Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
121Total teleop120
AirshipBlue +100
50Total endgame150
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
206Total score300
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 0.5
Second
blue by 7.8
