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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+20Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+95
AutonomousRed +20
35Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +40
80Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points75
215Total score310
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 16.4
Second
blue by 7.5
