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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+20Auto
Teleop+119
Endgame+119
Fouls+119
AutonomousRed +20
35Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +139
121Total teleop260
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalBlue +119
0Foul points0
256Total score375
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 2.4
Second
blue by 2.9
