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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+6Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
41Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +3
261Total teleop264
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
452Total score449
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 11.3
Second
red by 1.2
