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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+7
+133Teleop
+133Endgame
+133Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
39Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +140
260Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +133
0Foul points0
449Total score316
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 4.2
Second
red by 9.8
