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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +5
35Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +2
260Total teleop262
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
445Total score452
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 10.3
Second
blue by 7.5
