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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+20Auto
+159Teleop
+159Endgame
+159Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
35Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +139
260Total teleop121
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +159
0Foul points0
445Total score286
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 7.6
Second
red by 11.9
