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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+5
+135Teleop
+135Endgame
+140Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
35Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +140
260Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +140
5Foul points0
450Total score310
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 23.8
Second
red by 24.6
