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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +3
35Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +37
120Total teleop157
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points50
305Total score395
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 5.7
Second
blue by 10.9
