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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+53Auto
+132Teleop
+132Endgame
+132Fouls
AutonomousRed +53
63Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +79
159Total teleop80
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +132
0Foul points0
372Total score240
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 12.3
Second
red by 28.0
