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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+10
+128Teleop
+128Endgame
+128Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
15Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +138
260Total teleop122
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +128
5Foul points5
430Total score302
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 2.9
Second
red by 6.6
